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Title: Issues/Crime and Justice/Death Penalty/Supporting Views - False Confessions An examination of alleged cases of wrongful conviction from false confessions by law professor Paul G. Cassell.
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False Confessions?   The guilty and the "innocent': An examination of alleged cases of wrongful conviction from false confessions Harvard Journal of Law and Public Policy; Cambridge; Spring 1999; Paul G. Cassell; Given the fallibility of human institutions, the possibility exists that police might obtain a confession from an innocent person to a crime that he did not commit. It is even possible that this "false confession" might, in turn, lead to an erroneous conviction. Despite occasional claims that specific individuals have been wrongfully convicted as the result of false confessions, this specific risk has never been the subject of empirical study. Professors Richard Leo and Richard Ofshe have attempted to fill this void with what is sure to be a widely cited study of sixty cases of alleged police-induced false confessions in the post-Miranda era. According to the authors, in twenty-nine of these cases the false confession resulted in the wrongful conviction of an innocent person; These assertions are not advanced in an effort to right wrongs in individual cases, but rather to justify possibly dramatic changes in how the justice system handles interrogations and confessions. Indeed, Leo and Ofshe conclude that the problem of false confessions threatens the very "quality of criminal justice in America by inflicting significant and unnecessary harms on the innocent." They accordingly recommend that judges should be empowered to review confessions for "reliability" through close scrutiny of the "post-admission narrative" of suspects. In a previous article, I simply assumed that Leo and Ofshe correctly asserted that all of their cases involved "innocent" persons and discussed what implications might be drawn from this assumptions Yet this linchpin claim about innocence is worth examining. All of Leo and Ofshe's policy recommendations rest on conclusions drawn from police interrogation gone wrong. If they have studied not interrogation failures but rather its successes, any justification for change disappears. More generally, scrutiny of their cases may shed light on an important methodological question: how can such miscarriages of justice be accurately identified? Leo and Ofshe rely in large measure on secondary sources for the descriptions of the evidence against the defendants in their collection. This approach is understandable. For many cases, court records are available only in the local courthouses where the trial took place, while media accounts are often readily accessible in computerized databases. Relying on secondary sources, however, poses the risk of inaccurate recounting of the evidence. Examining primary sources for the cases in Leo and Ofshe's collection reveals that this is a very real problem. Part I places the issue of false confessions in context. It notes that the innocent are at risk not only from false confessions, but also from "lost" confessions-that is, confessions that police fail to obtain from guilty criminals that might help innocent persons who would otherwise come under suspicion for committing a crime. In comparing these competing risks, a critical issue is the relative frequency of false confessions when compared to lost confessions, a frequency that thus far rests almost solely on the Leo and Ofshe collection. Part II then dives into the individual cases. It begins by narrowing the focus to the twenty-nine persons who were convicted of crimes and then examines nine of these twentynine cases in detail. Based on review of original trial court records and other similar sources, the part concludes that each of these nine persons were, in all likelihood, entirely guilty of the crimes charged against them. Part III explores the lessons that might be drawn from the high proportion of guilty criminals in the Leo and Ofshe collection of "innocent" persons. This fact suggests that academic research on miscarriages should not rely on media descriptions of the evidence against defendants. Journalists will all too often slant their reports in the direction of discovering "news" by finding that an innocent person has been wrongfully convicted. Reliance on second-hand media accounts can also obscure particular problem areas by over-generalizing the false confession problem. When the Leo and Ofshe anthology is whittled down to the handful of undisputed cases of wrongful conviction, the false confession problem is revealed to be not pandemic in the American criminal justice system, but rather concentrated among a narrow and vulnerable population: persons with mental disabilities. Part III concludes by critiquing Leo and Ofshe's proposal that judges should closely scrutinize the "fit" between the "post-admission narrative" of a suspect and the crime facts. Their overbroad suggestion would result in the suppression of many truthful confessions of criminals who may fail to give full accounts of their crimes for various reasons. Instead of suppressing confessions on reliability grounds, we should depend on juries to decide their truth or falsity, just as we ultimately rely on juries to determine the guilt or innocence of criminal suspects. I. THE FALSE CONFESSION PROBLEM IN CONTEXT When the police obtain a false confession from an innocent person, that person is placed at risk of being wrongfully convicted. But this is not the only risk to the innocent posed by police interrogations. The innocent are also jeopardized when police fail to obtain a truthful confession from the true perpetrator of a crime. That truthful confession could prevent suspicion from wrongfully falling on an innocent person and could even exonerate an innocent person who has been wrongfully charged with, or convicted of, a crime. As I argued in my earlier article, Protecting the Innocent from False Confessions and Lost Confessions-And From Miranda,6 weighing these competing possibilities requires some assessment of the relative frequency of these two risks. The available empirical evidence provides reason to believe that today the innocent are more at risk from restraints on police that hinder their efforts to obtain truthful confessions than from the lack of additional protections against the comparatively rare risk of false confessions. Moreover, there is good reason to believe that the Supreme Court's decision in Miranda has exacerbated the risks to the innocent. The Miranda decision has reduced the number of truthful confessions, while at the same time doing nothing about, and probably even worsening, the false confession problem by diverting the focus of courts away from the substantive truth of confessions to procedural issues about how they were obtained. Professors Leo and Ofshe have written a reply to my analysis, challenging these points. A detailed rebuttal of their critique is unnecessary here, but a few responses are in order because they demonstrate the importance of carefully analyzing the validity of the Leo-Ofshe collection of cases. Leo and Ofshe first argue that it is impossible to derive any estimate of the frequency of false confessions because of an obvious lack of precise records and related methodological difficulties. A "humble" answer of "I do not know," they write, is the researcher's only proper response to the question of how frequently false confessions occur. The difficulty is that Leo and Ofshe fail to follow their own suggestion. Leo and Ofshe ultimately argue that it is "well established" that "psychologically-induced false confessions occur frequently enough to warrant the concern of criminal justice officials, legislators, and the general public." In the popular press, they have made even more sweeping claims, such as false confessions happen "all the time." However much Leo and Ofshe would like to disguise the fact, these are not "humble" claims of ignorance, but rather empirical claims about the frequency of false confessions-indeed, a claim allegedly strong enough to justify restructuring police interrogations throughout America. Leo and Ofshe are also surprisingly tight-lipped about what seems to be a straightforward way to gain some understanding of the frequency of false confessions. In my article, I suggested simply drawing a random sample of criminal cases and determining the percentage of false confessions within the sample. Leo and Ofshe eschew any such effort, arguing "[t]he project of quantification is Cassell's, not ours or any other researchers studying . . . false confessions." This claim is untrue, as my interest in quantification through sampling is shared by others knowledgeable in the field. For example, Dr. Gisli Gudjonsson, whom Leo and Ofshe describe as one of the world's "leading authorities on false confessions," has undertaken precisely this project in no less than three separate articles, each of which draws a sample with the goal, among others, of determining the frequency of false confessions. While Leo and Ofshe quarrel with the applicability of this research from Iceland to America, they fail to come to grips with the overarching point that the sampling methodology employed by Gudjonsson could be used to make some estimate of the frequency of false confessions here. For example, the 1994 sample of 173 filed cases from Salt Lake City drawn by Bret Hayman and me contains no evidence of even a single case involving an alleged false confession.  Similarly, it seems unlikely that Richard Leo's 1993 sample of 182 interrogations in the San Francisco Bay Area contains many-or perhaps even any-false confessions. Leo and Ofshe do not explain why they are unwilling to reexamine this sample to see if it contains any false confessions. Interrogation researchers in this country have also drawn other samples, apparently without ever encountering any false confessions. The dearth of false confessions in all these samples suggests that false confessions occur quite infrequently, with the result that any effort to determine frequency will necessarily involve a methodology for estimating low probability events. My previous article offered one such approach. To estimate the frequency of false confessions, one should canvass the available empirical evidence for estimates of (1) the number of criminal cases; (2) the error rate (that is, the wrongful conviction rate) in those cases; and (3) the proportion of wrongful convictions attributable to false confessions. Combining these three numbers will produce an estimate of the number of wrongful convictions from false confessions. While I acknowledged that gathering evidence of the error rate is quite difficult, I relied on what appears to be the only plausible published estimate from Professor Ronald Huff and his colleagues. They surveyed criminal justice professionals around the country and asked them to estimate the error rate in the system. Leo and Ofshe call the resulting estimate of the error rate (below one percent) "empirically worthless" -apparently a new view of the quality of the study, as Leo had previously cited this very estimate to support one of his arguments. If anything, the Huff error rate estimate is probably too high because of the well known human tendency to overestimate the probability of extremely low frequency events. It seems reasonable to rely on the Huff estimate to generate an upper-bound estimate of the frequency of false confessions. My article then derives a possible range of wrongful convictions from false confessions to provide an order-of-magnitude assessment of the problem, an assessment suggesting that such wrongful convictions are quite rare. Although Leo and Ofshe refuse to offer even a ballpark assessment of the annual number of wrongful convictions from false confessions, they remain confident that the false confession problem dwarfs the lost confession problem. Although my article explained why Miranda might harm the innocent by blocking truthful confessions, they claim that no such problem occurs, avoiding any need to weigh the competing risks. To reach this firm conclusion, they create a caricature of both my argument and the nation's criminal justice system. Miranda could harm innocent suspects, they claim, in only two "scenarios": the "frustrated detective scenario," in which a suspect invokes his Miranda rights and the frustrated detective nonetheless goes on to obtain a false confession from an innocent person, and "the ever-diligent detective scenario," in which a diligent detective continues to investigate a case after it has been solved and is unable to obtain a confession from the true perpetrator of a crime because of Miranda. These simplistic scenarios, which Leo and Ofshe misleadingly attribute to me, fail to capture the more realistic risks Miranda poses to the innocent. The most fundamental flaw in the scenarios is their simplifying assumption that only one detective in one jurisdiction is investigating one crime. In the real world, many investigators from many different jurisdictions investigate many different cases. In some of these investigations, they will obtain confessions that exonerate innocent persons. Indeed, Leo and Ofshe unwittingly recognize the absolving power of confessions when they acknowledge that "reliable confessions from the true perpetrators are among the leading sources of exoneration of the wrongfully convicted .... If Miranda impedes police success in interrogation, it is a logical corollary that it will also impede one of the "leading sources" of exoneration. The only remaining question, then, is whether Miranda impedes police interrogation. Evidence of Miranda's harmful effects is mounting. For example, along with various co-authors, I have developed empirical evidence of Miranda's substantial harm to law enforcement. In my most recent articles, I have analyzed the precipitous drop in crime clearance rates that followed immediately on the heels of Miranda and concluded that Miranda severely hampered police effectiveness. Interestingly, even before publication of this analysis, Leo himself concluded that "Miranda appears to have an effect on the collateral functions of interrogation" such as "clearing crimes." Miranda's adverse effect on clearance rates is of central importance to the innocent, because a reduced clearance rate means that in some cases detectives fail to obtain confessions from the true perpetrators of criminal acts that would allow them to "clear" or solve the case. These lost clearances occur most often when police arrest a suspect for one crime, but are prevented by Miranda from obtaining confessions to other crimes he has committed. For example, if police apprehend an armed robber at the scene of the crime, he may invoke his Miranda rights and prevent police from learning that he has committed five other similar robberies. If an innocent person has been charged, or even convicted, for one of these other robberies, Miranda may well prevent his exoneration. The possibility that Miranda harms the innocent by blocking confessions from criminals finds support in real world observations. Professor Sam Gross's detailed empirical study of wrongful convictions from eyewitness misidentifications explained that before Miranda, the typical way in which a miscarriage was discovered was that "the actual criminal was arrested on an unrelated charged and, after being held in custody for a day or two, she confessed to the perpetration of all the crimes charged to the misidentified suspect" Since that time, Gross concludes, such exonerations through true confessions appear to have declined significantly, with Miranda being a possible cause. In light of the competing risks to the innocent from false confessions and lost confessions, the important public policy question becomes the relative frequency of false confessions as a cause of wrongful convictions versus true confessions as a cure for wrongful convictions. My previous article not only argued that false confessions rarely cause wrongful convictions, but also cited two studies suggesting that true confessions are among the most common means of exonerating those wrongfully convicted. For example, Gross reported that fifty-four percent of the wrongful convictions from eyewitness misidentification were uncovered when the actual criminal confessed. Similarly, Arye Rattner's more general collection of miscarriages found that the actual culprit's confession was the leading means of exoneration, responsible for forty percent of the exonerations. Leo and Ofshe do not dispute these figures but argue that I "fail[ to mention" a more recent study in which, they dramatically proclaim, "0% of the wrongfully convicted and incarcerated innocent were exonerated by a confession." This contrived datum is meaningless. The study in question, subtitled "Case Studies in the Use of DNA Evidence to Establish Innocence After Trial," was specifically limited to the subject of its subtitle-exonerations through DNA evidence. Thus, by definition, one hundred percent of the exonerations in the study came from DNA, meaning that zero percent came about through any other method. The only meaningful data that bear on the overall proportions come from the two studies I cited, suggesting the prime importance of confessions in exonerating the wrongfully convicted. Because the innocent are today more at risk from lost confessions than false confessions, I proposed replacing Miranda with a system of videotaping interrogations. This would improve the lot of the innocent, because Miranda reduces the numbers of truthful confessions, reducing the potential for confessions to clear wrongfully convicted innocent persons. At the same time, Miranda does nothing about the false confession problem. It appears to be common ground among those who have studied the issue, including Leo and Ofshe, that Miranda fails to protect against false confessions, since those who are innocent will want to talk to police and waive their Miranda rights. My argument is relatively straightforward-not, as Leo and Ofshe intimate, a "newfound discovery" that has gone "surprisingly unnoticed," but rather a simple development of similar positions long advanced by many other knowledgeable observers. Indeed, my conclusion appears to be reinforced by an essay recently written by Richard Leo, in which he argued that "[i]t is even possible that Miranda-despite its high-minded intentions-has undermined any protection the law might have otherwise offered against the admission of false confessions into evidence." Replacing Miranda with videotaping offers a real chance to identify those rare cases of police interrogation gone bad, while at the same time not impeding police in their efforts to obtain confessions. Instead of contending on the merits of these issues, Leo and Ofshe single-mindedly maintain that their collection of wrongful convictions demonstrates such a serious problem of wrongful convictions from false confessions that we must restructure the criminal justice system to erect new safeguards against this particular danger. Because of the near-exclusive emphasis Leo and Ofshe place on these particular cases, they should be closely scrutinized. If this examination reveals that the alleged cases of "false" confessions of innocent persons are actually truthful confessions from guilty criminals, Leo and Ofshe's policy recommendations could be seriously flawed. With this premise in mind, then, we can turn to reviewing the Leo-Ofshe collection. II. THE LEO AND OFSHE COLLECTION OF FALSE CONFESSIONS Professors Leo and Ofshe are on the right track in attempting to collect empirical evidence on false confessions. Many fundamental issues in the criminal justice system are grossly in need of factual illumination, with police interrogation and confessions being high on the list. Moreover, an evaluation of false confessions has never before been undertaken, and any criticisms of the Leo-Ofshe project should give due regard to its difficulty and its importance. It is hard to determine if police interrogation is often malfunctioning, but if it is, that fact would have important policy consequences. Nonetheless, counting the cases of "false" confessions raises sensitive methodological and evaluative questions that must be handled far more carefully than done by Leo and Ofshe. A. Defining Who Is "Innocent" Discussion about risks to the innocent must first grapple with the question of who qualifies as an "innocent" person. Previous research on miscarriages of justice has generally focused on "wrong-person mistakes-the conviction . . . of the factually 'innocent'." Moving beyond the factually innocent to the legally innocent would raise a host of questions not readily susceptible to empirical analysis: what kinds of state of mind defenses (including insanity and entrapment) were erroneously rejected at trial, when did the quantum of proof dip below the "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard, and so forth. Leo and Ofshe thus wisely avoid this quagmire by focusing on the more discrete and researchable category of wrong person mistakes. Leo and Ofshe claim to have discovered sixty cases in which an innocent person falsely confessed to a crime he did not commit. This article focuses not on this entire collection, but rather the subset of twenty-nine claimed cases of a false confession leading to a wrongful conviction. For policy purposes, false confessions leading to erroneous convictions are the major point of concern. If a person who has made a false confession is not convicted-because the police do not arrest, the prosecutor does not indict, or the jury does not convictthen the screens in the system have at least worked to prevent the ultimate miscarriage of justice, the conviction of an innocent person. To be sure, false confessions may result in considerable trauma before a determination of innocence, and, in an ideal system, no such false confessions would be obtained. I mean in no way to minimize such concerns, but rather to narrow the focus to the evidence justifying their claim that additional safeguards are needed in criminal adjudication? Again, a venerable tradition supports this approach. Leo and Ofshe also seem to adopt this view implicitly, as the main effect of their policy proposals is not to reduce false confessions per se, but rather to prevent wrongful convictions later in the process through such measures as after-the-fact judicial scrutiny of the credibility of confessions. B. Determining Who Is In Fact "Innocent" With the subject clearly defined-factually innocent persons who have been wrongfully convicted-the question next arises of how to determine who is "innocent." One could easily take the position that "objective" truth is unknowable and therefore such determinations lie beyond human capacity. Professors Leo and Ofshe refreshingly contend that we can determine whether defendants are truly guilty or innocent. Given that we have a judicial system specifically designed to make such determinations, a problem then arises. One could argue, as Ofshe has elsewhere, that "[i]f a decision is ever to be made about questions of guilt or innocence, it should be made by a jury not by a contributor for or readers of scientific journals." The only way to avoid this problem of the researcher as judge and jury is to confine analysis to cases of undisputed wrongful convictions, an approach some researchers have adopted. Here, however, Leo and Ofshe opt to follow what they describe as "[t)he leading contemporary research" on miscarriages, a study by Professors Bedau and Radelet on allegedly innocent persons convicted of capital crimes. This is a cause for concern, because Bedau and Radelet's catalogue of "innocents" ignores physical evidence of guilt, incorrectly cites sources that in fact indicated defendants were guilty, includes works of fiction as proving innocence, and contains other serious flaws. More recent work by the same authors is even worse. Leo and Ofshe promise to avoid such concerns by limiting their collection of "innocents" to cases in which "no physical or other significant and credible evidence indicated the suspect's guilt; the state's evidence consisted of little or nothing more than the statement 'I did it;' and the suspect's factual innocence was supported .... Their methodology improves on Bedau and Radelet's by providing a continuum of the evidence of innocence-from cases of "proven" to "highly probable" to "probable" innocence. But, like the Bedau and Radelet survey, the problem remains that Leo and Ofshe`s judgment as to who is innocent is highly subjective and, in more than a few cases, demonstrably wrong. Some concrete examples will illustrate this point. What follows are discussions of nine of the twentynine cases, arranged in alphabetical order, in which Leo and Ofshe claim that an innocent person was wrongfully convicted as the result of a "false" confession. In these discussions, I review Leo and Ofshe's claim that no "credible evidence" supported the defendant's guilt? Based on a more thorough description of the cases than Leo and Ofshe provide, the reader can readily see that this claim is untrue and that substantial evidence supported the guilt of each of these defendants. 1. Barry Fairchild Leo and Ofshe have one case in their catalog in which they allege that an innocent man was executed: Barry Fairchild. Fairchild confessed to, and was convicted of, participating in the murder and rape of Marjorie Mason on February 26,1983. Relying primarily on secondary sources, Leo and Ofshe claim the confession was coerced and that "no independent evidence connect[ed] Fairchild to the crime." The judicial opinions in the case give a decidedly different impression. On the day of the murder, police chased two suspects who were driving the victim's car. The suspects escaped on foot. Police later discovered the victim's body and, among other things, a baseball cap bearing the inscription "CAT Diesel Power." One witness reported seeing Fairchild wearing such a hat about a week before the murder, and two officers also recognized the hat as having been worn by Fairchild on prior occasions. Police also received a tip that Fairchild and his brother had raped several women in the past. The women reportedly feared coming forward because they felt Fairchild was dangerous. Police received a further tip from a different informant about Fairchild's involvement which contained information that the police had independently confirmed. For example, the informant told police that Fairchild and his brother had escaped the police on foot after the victim's car was stopped. The account was consistent with events occurring during the police chase. Several days after the murder, the police received a report that Fairchild was trying to escape to California by bus. They managed to stop the bus, but Fairchild evaded them. When eventually caught after hiding in the woods for several days, "Fairchild's attitude was: 'You got me!' He was willing to talk." The police took Fairchild back to Little Rock where he gave a videotaped confession. Although Leo and Ofshe claim that the videotape shows Fairchild "looking away from the camera and responding to the prompting of others in the room," this was not the view of the federal district court judge who carefully evaluated this claim in response to Fairchild's habeas petition. Judge G. Thomas Eisele, described as a "moderate and fair-minded" judge even by those who opposed Fairchild's execution, concluded: I watched Mr. Fairchild making his statements and . . . [h]is statements give the feeling of truth to me because particularly when he is using his hands to describe . . . 'And we went up this and down this hill,' he's making an uphill or downhill [motion] with his hand just automatically as he talks. All of the incidental body language is corroborative, it seems to me, of what is being said. And what is being said . . . did not give[ me the impression that it had been rehearsed . . Rather, it seems to have the indicia of spontaneity and truth. Judge Eisele concluded that "[t]he Court specifically finds that [Fairchild] was not instructed or coached regarding the content of his confessions. Two years later, on yet another habeas petition, Judge Eisele again rejected such claims: This is a death penalty case. It deserves the most careful and serious consideration possible. Back at the time of the hearing in 1987, the Court carefully observed and listened to the videotaped confessions-not once but several times. In light of the issues now being raised. . . the Court has viewed these videotapes yet again and has also reviewed the [earlier] transcript . . It finds no reason to depart from the factual finding that I made then. On the contrary, that review has reinforced the Court's confidence in those findings. The Court is convinced that no reasonable person could listen to the evidence presented at the two-day hearing and view the videotaped confessions and still have any doubt about the involvement of Mr. Fairchild in the rape and murder of Ms. Mason. Fairchild's confession "went into explicit detail concerning the abduction, rape, and robbery of the victim." Details in the confession were corroborated. Fairchild, for example, said his accomplice had a "little old nickel plate" gun that was a .22 or a .25. The bullets removed from the victim were .22 caliber. Leo and Ofshe note that the prosecution acknowledged the confession "was, in part, not true," apparently referring to the prosecution's stipulation that Fairchild falsely confessed that his accomplice was Harold Green. But it could well have been that Fairchild committed the crime with his brother. If so, or on the reasonable assumption that the accomplice was a friend of Fairchild's, what Leo and Ofshe call a "glaring error of fact" actually is a perfectly understandable deception that, if anything, makes the confession more believable. After confessing, Fairchild guided the officers on a crime scene tour and "gave the directions which brought them all to the scene where Ms. Mason's body had earlier been found. He pointed out where they left the body." During the tour, the officers asked Fairchild about missing jewelry from the victim. Fairchild asked if a person who had the jewelry would get in trouble. After being assured that she would not if she had no knowledge of the crime, "Fairchild then told the officers that his sister had the [victim's] watch. The officers then drove to Mr. Fairchild's house where they obtained the watch" from Fairchild's sister. At trial, the victim's father testified that the watch, a special mail order Cassio diver's watch tested waterproof to one hundred meters, was "just like" the watch he gave to his daughter for her twenty-second birthday. The victim's mother said the watch had a "unique" kind of strap on it and was "Greta's watch." Reviewing this and other evidence, Judge Eisele concluded that the evidence that the watch was the victim's was "very strong, indeed, overwhelming." Leo and Ofshe concede Fairchild had a watch "similar" to that owned by the victim, but note Fairchild testified that he bought the watch from someone at a pool hall and then sold it to his sister. Fairchild's trial story seems incredible on its face. Fairchild claimed that this person, whom he knew only as "Ham," came up and offered to sell the watch. The "pool hall" was "[j]ust kind of a place." He did not know what street it was on. Moreover, as the district court recognized, it was not possible for the police officers working the case to know when Fairchild confessed that Fairchild's sister would have such a watch, which in turn would be identical to the victim's watch. The officers could only have learned these facts "out of the mouth of Mr. Fairchild" when he confessed. The watch "by itself," the judge concluded, "make[s] clear the involvement of Mr. Fairchild in the crimes against Ms. Mason far beyond any reasonable doubt." Leo and Ofshe also claim Fairchild was vulnerable to coercion because he was mentally retarded, citing an IQ test conducted by Ruth Luckasson producing a score in the low 60s. The district court concluded, however, that "at some point, Ms. Luckasson began to lose her scientific objectivity and skepticism." The Court recounted problems with her findings, concluding "her critical opinions in this case [are] flawed and unsubstantiated by the evidence." The court thoroughly reviewed all of the evidence concerning Fairchild's mental abilities (in an opinion that, on this issue alone, spans more than sixty pages in the Federal Supplement), reaching the conclusion that Fairchild was "clearly not 'mentally retarded."' This finding was affirmed by the Eighth Circuit. The Arkansas Supreme Court reached the same conclusion. Leo and Ofshe discount all of the evidence of guilt based largely on a segment aired on ABC's 20/20. In the program, various men claimed to have been pressured to confess to the murder, and Fairchild recited claims of abuse as well. The program conceded that the bulk of the allegations had been rejected by Judge Eisele but failed to mention that Judge Eisele's rejection came only after a seventeen-day evidentiary hearing, after which he made 133 pages of oral findings from the bench, and entered a 413-page written order on the remaining factual and legal issues. Judge Eisele concluded that the new claims "did not change [his] prior finding that Fairchild's confessions were voluntary." The judge observed "there was no direct evidence presented at the hearing that Fairchild had been forced to confess." Any abuse was improbable because it would have taken place in "an area where many officers were present. And they were constantly coming and going. And the officers present were not under only one command. They were from a variety of police jurisdictions." The judge also found that supporting testimony tracking Fairchild's new story "was not credible and was manufactured to conform with Fairchild's claims." The Court of Appeals, after "careful review of the record," upheld the district court's finding that the confession was voluntary and added "[t]he evidence does not support any other conclusion." Leo and Ofshe give no reason to credit the allegations aired in the 20/20 program over the contrary-and conscientiously determined-findings of the judicial system. 2. Joseph Giarratano On February 4, 1979, Barbara Ann Kline and her fifteen year old daughter Michelle were murdered in their apartment in Norfolk, Virginia. Michelle was raped and killed some time before her mother. Police immediately suspected Giarratano, who was living in the same apartment but had disappeared on the night of the murders. The next day, hundreds of miles away in Jacksonville, Florida, Giarratano approached a uniformed police officer eating breakfast. Giarratano told the officer that he had "killed two people in Norfolk, Virginia, and wanted to turn himself in." Giarratano explained that he had killed a "lady in Norfolk" in an argument over some money and then raped and strangled the lady's daughter. Giarratano repeated the same account to another patrol officer, except he made no statement about a sexual assault. The following day, Giarratano was interviewed by two detectives from Norfolk who had examined the crime scene. After they told Giarratano that "they had been there," Giarratano admitted his earlier confession "was not the way it was." He proceeded to give a detailed confession to the killings, explaining he had raped the daughter and then strangled her. He left the apartment and later returned. When the girl's mother arrived and unlocked the door to the apartment, Giarratano jumped out. She started screaming, so he stabbed her two or three times. (An autopsy revealed that the victim had died from three knife wounds.) He left two dogs behind in the apartment  and headed for Florida. Giarratano said he had stabbed the mother because she "would know I was the one that killed Michelle and I wanted to keep her from talking." Within the next few weeks, Giarratano was interviewed by a staff psychiatrist at a state hospital concerning the effects of drugs-cocaine, Dilaudid, and possibly alcohol-that Giarratano had consumed at the time of the crimes. The psychiatrist testified that the drugs would "loosen his controls." As for reversal of the time sequences and differing accounts of the crime, the psychiatrist testified that this was attributable to the combination of drugs resulting in "peripheral neuropathy, loss of recent memory" producing "confabulat[ion]." The defense psychiatrist reached the same conclusion. In a lengthy interview, Giarratano described the crimes in detail, giving an account that was "substantially consistent with the one which he gave the Norfolk police." Giarratano said he killed the daughter when she infuriated him by resisting his attempt to have intercourse and then killed the mother.  The psychiatrist concluded: "Mr. Giarratano was very credible in his description [of the crime] during the Clinic interview." Based on interviews with Giarratano and his family members, the defense psychiatrist concluded Giarratano's "'previously suppressed rage and anger' had been 'reactivated by the sequence of events (with) Michelle' and that the murders were 'symbolic acts' by which the defendant's hatred was discharged against persons he identified in his mind with his mother and sister." It is worth noting that Giarratano had a history of active involvement in drugs and violent outbursts. To cast doubt on these repeated confessions, Leo and Ofshe rely on inaccurate descriptions of the crime apparently generated by avowed death penalty opponents seeking to overturn Giarratano's capital sentence. For example, while Leo and Ofshe claim that hair samples did not link Giarratano to the crime, in fact one of the pubic hairs "found on Michelle's left hand, stomach and pubic area was consistent in 'race, color and microscopic characteristics' with one of [Giarratano's] pubic hairs." Leo and Ofshe report that one fingerprint found at the scene of the crime matched Giarratano's, but in fact seventeen matching prints were found. Leo and Ofshe also contend police found no blood on Giarratano's clothing, but in fact human blood type O-the same as one of the victim'swas found on the front and side of one of his boots. Leo and Ofshe further claim that the murder was committed by a right handed person and Giarratano was left-handed with only limited use of his right hand due to childhood neurological damage. Both points are questionable. A belatedly hired defense analyst did opine, after viewing crime scene photographs, that "the sharp edge of the knife . . . was upward. This is typical of a right-handed person assaulting the victim from behind." As is obvious, this is a far cry from proving that a right-handed person committed the crime; the sharp edge of the knife would be "upward" on any number of different attack scenarios, and any additional analysis would be largely guesswork without further information about the precise position of the murderer at the time of the crime. And although Giarratano has told his apologists that the neurological damage in his right hand was long standing, his own medical materials suggest that "right upper extremity sensory deficit" was attributable to a wrist laceration associated with his 1983 suicide attempt-some four years after the murders -- during which Giarratano was hospitalized for "having severely slit his right wrist." At the time of the murders, it should be noted, Giarratano was sufficiently dexterous to work on a scallop boat. The feeling one gets reviewing the inaccurate second-hand accounts is that opponents of the death penalty have distorted the record on Giarratano's guilt for their own purposes. Accordingly, one should be exceedingly cautious in relying on their secondary accounts of the "evidence" in the case. 3. Paul Ingram Paul Ingram was arrested on November 28, 1988, following complaints of sexual abuse from his daughters, then eighteen and twenty-two years old. Ingram waived his right to counsel and made incriminating statements that day. Additional incriminating statements followed during an investigation over the next few months. On May 1, 1989, Ingram pled guilty to three counts of third degree rape with each of his daughters. In October of 1989, Ingram retained new counsel and moved to withdraw his guilty plea. He claimed his original plea resulted from "a variety of influences including deception, brainwashing, religious and familial coercion" at the hands of friends, counselors, and others. At a hearing on the motion to withdraw the plea, Ingram denied participating in any abusive conduct and claimed that the sexual acts he admitted were not the products of conscious memory, but rather were "visualizations." Ingram further testified that, near the end of July, 1989, he suddenly realized that he did not commit these crimes. The supporting expert for the defense was Richard Ofshe, who testified that the incriminating statements resulted from accidental hypnosis and fantasies during questioning. Ofshe, however, admitted specifically that "[c)ertain factual questions are beyond the scope of my professional expertise. I do not know nor do I have any opinion as to whether or not Paul Ingram committed one or more sexual assaults on his daughters." Three psychologists testified for the state and "generally agreed that Ingram's statements were real recollections and not the products of any alleged trances or hypnosis." One, a family counselor hired by the defense, submitted a report "that reflected statements by Ingram acknowledging long-term abuse of his children and involvement in 'incest, sodomy, and homosexual activity."' After six days of testimony, the trial judge noted the obvious-that he was a "neutral person in this controversy." Accordingly, the judge's findings, after hearing directly from Ofshe, provide an opportunity to test Leo and Ofshe's claim that their views would be accepted "by an overwhelming majority of neutral observers." The judge, however, disagreed with Ofshe and found the confession to be true. After listening to the tape of Ingram answering police questions on the afternoon of his arrest, the judge observed that "not terribly long" into it Ingram "essentially confess[es] to molesting both of these young women." Given that Ingram was a law enforcement officer, the judge also found it was "highly, highly unlikely that he would be convinced to confess unless he were guilty." Moreover, the admissions that daymade before any contact with psychologists or others who allegedly coerced him-contained "'virtually incontestable evidence of guilt."' During questioning, "Ingram told officers, among other things, of sex practices used to prevent pregnancy with one of the daughters, of that daughter's abortion. . . when she did become pregnant by him, and of having anal intercourse with the daughter during her menstrual period so that 'the bed wouldn't get messed up."' The abortion also provided supporting physical evidence of sexual abuse, as Ingram did "not suggest that this abortion did not in fact take place or was not verifiable." The trial judge further found that the three state witnesses were "more credible than Dr. [sic] Ofshe" and that Ofshe was "considerably less qualified" than the other witnesses "to give opinions in this area." Ofshe's testimony was not credited, in part, because he was "not a clinical psychologist" and "not an expert in sex abuse."  In addition, the judge found that Ofshe conducted an "odd" experiment in an effort to show Ingram was spouting back information fed to him by the police. While Ingram confessed to a scenario fed to him by Ofshe, Ofshe had chosen facts that "came pretty close to what one of the victims had accused the defendant of" rather than something "totally foreign from anything that could probably be true." With respect to Ofshe's claim (based on "reading a dry record") that Ingram was in an "hypnotic state, or in a trance" when he confessed, the trial judge stated: "I find that to be strange. I wonder if that can be done [i.e., determining that someone is in a hypnotic state from merely reading a transcript]. I have great cause for concern with that." The judge also found it strange that two weeks after Ingram pled guilty, Ofshe contacted him Ofshe told Ingram, "You're innocent," to which Ingram responded, "No, I'm guilty." A few weeks later, Ingram switched to agree with Ofshe. The judge also concluded that Ingram's new claims were incredible. The judge noted that Ingram's position was that "his mental state and his memory were good" up to his arrest, then until mid-July of 1989 his memory was poor, and then after July of 1989 "his memory was good again." "I just don't believe that," the judge concluded, emphasizing "I just have to say that straight out . . . I believe his testimony is impeached, and I believe that he is somewhat of a manipulator."ls The judge further observed that the two daughters had each accused their father of abuse and that "there is no real reason that's been given to me here in this courtroom, why they have or would falsely accuse their father." Indeed, the daughters' allegations developed in a "rather logical" fashion. To be sure, the court noted, there were "inconsistencies in their statements" and "exaggerations" about fantastic satanic sessions that in all likelihood never occurred. Such features, however, are "not an unusual thing" when a person has "been subjected to severe sexual abuse over a period of years." In any event, Ingram was not charged with any form of satanism but rape of his daughters. "I just find that he did it," the trial judge concluded. These findings were upheld by the Washington Court of Appeals, and habeas corpus challenges to them were rejected by the United States District Court for the Western District of Washington and the Ninth Circuit. Leo and Ofshe do not appear to claim any new evidence has surfaced since then, relying primarily on an old article by Ofshe himself. This is a curious supporting citation. Ofshe wrote there that "[i]t is impossible for anyone other than those directly involved to know whether or not Paul Ingram" sexually abused his daughters and that [t]he point of the present paper is not to argue Mr. Ingram's innocence. No attempt has been made to develop the analysis and marshall [sic] evidence [to that effect] . . . If a decision is ever to be made about questions of guilt or innocence, it should be made by a jury not by a contributor for or readers of scientific journals. What appears to be the only new development since then tends to confirm Ingram's guilt; at a 1996 hearing before Washington's Clemency and Pardons Board, Paul Ingram's son made the first public disclosures about his own childhood sexual abuse by his father. The Board also heard from Ofshe, but denied clemency.   4. Richard Lapointe   In 1992, Richard Lapointe was convicted of sexually assaulting and murdering his wife's eighty-eight year old grandmother, Bernice Martin, and then setting her apartment on fire. Leo and Ofshe claim, citing a tract prepared by a group called "The Friends of Richard Lapointe," that "[n]o physical evidence . . . linked Lapointe to the crime."ln In fact, as the Connecticut Supreme Court noted in affirming the conviction, "a stain on the victim's bedspread was human semen from a person who was a secretor with Type A blood. [Lapointe] has Type A blood and is a secretor. Also the stain lacked sperm, which is consistent with the semen of a person who has had a vasectomy. [Lapointe] had a vasectomy" before the murder. Other evidence also pointed to Lapointe. When a relative called Lapointe's wife to express concern about the victim on the night of the murder, Lapointe picked up another phone, without being asked to join the conversation, and volunteered to check on the victim himself. He then took a less-than-direct route to her apartment, where he smelled smoke and felt heat from the door. Although unable to gain access, he telephoned the relative from a neighboring apartment to report everything was fine. When the relative said she was going to check herself, Lapointe promptly returned to the victim's apartment and "discovered" the fire. After the murder, "before any information regarding a possible sexual assault became known to the police or the public, Lapointe stated [to a friend] that 'it was [a] shame they killed an old lady, but they didn't have to rape her, too.' When later asked how he learned that the victim had been sexually assaulted, Lapointe said "he had been informed by a doctor at the hospital on the night of the murder." The medical personnel involved, however, unanimously testified to the contrary. During a police interview before suspicion centered on him, Lapointe also "exhibited considerable curiosity concerning the results of the autopsy and asked if there had been causes of death other than smoke inhalation." Ofshe and Leo claim it was "virtually impossible" for Lapointe to commit the murder because his wife provided an alibi for all but thirty to forty-five minutes of the day. But the police reinterviewed Lapointe's wife on the day he confessed. She conceded that Lapointe left their house around the time of the murder, contrary to the story both she and Lapointe previously gave police. On the day he confessed, Lapointe voluntarily came to the police station and waived his Miranda rights. Tests performed later revealed that Lapointe had "a full-scale intelligence quotient (IQ) of 92," within the average range. Within an hour of questioning, Lapointe "became quiet, slumped down in his chair, sighed and stated, 'I killed her.'" Lapointe then denied making that statement and asked the detective whether it was possible to kill someone and not remember. When the detective said it was possible, Lapointe confessed orally and, in a one-sentence signed statement, admitted killing the victim and then blanking out. The detective tried to elicit more details, and Lapointe gave another brief confession. Next another detective interviewed Lapointe and recounted the reinterview of Lapointe's wife that had destroyed his alibi. Lapointe proceeded to give a more detailed account of his murder. He said, among other things, that he removed the victim's underwear and threw it to the right of the bed, where it was in fact found. He confessed to raping the victim and then ejaculating on the bedspread. The semen was found on the bedspreadl8 and no sperm was found on the victim's body. The detective asked whether the victim screamed and Lapointe said she had not. To test Lapointe, the detective falsely said that a neighbor had heard screams. Lapointe adamantly denied the victim had screamed.l87 Lapointe said that he obtained a steak knife with a brown plastic handle and stabbed and strangled the victim. A melted brown plastic knife handle and blade were found near the victim.   Relying on second-hand newspaper accounts, Leo and Ofshe claim Lapointe's confession should be discounted because of alleged inconsistencies. For example, Leo and Ofshe claim the confession to penile rape was inconsistent with the evidence because "[i]n fact, the victim was raped with a blunt instrument." The medical examiner, however, did not attribute the victim's injuries to a foreign object, but testified that the victim suffered "blunt trauma." In neither his report nor his trial testimony did he attribute these injuries to a foreign object.  Leo and Ofshe also contend that Lapointe's confession to "killing" the victim on the couch was inconsistent with "[m]edical testimony establish[ing] that she was not killed while on the couch." There is no discernible inconsistency between medical testimony and the confession on this issue. Firefighters found the victim on the floor close to the couch, and the medical examiner testified that she was alive during the fire because the stabs wounds were not the cause of death. There is thus no conflict with Lapointe's confession that he "stabbed Bernice in the stomach while she was laying on the couch," then set the fire and left. In any event, all of the evidence concerning Lapointe's confession and its alleged inconsistencies was presented to the jury. Leo and Ofshe offer no new credible evidence to discredit the verdict. It is worth noting that the continued unfounded suggestions that Lapointe is innocent remain a source of considerable distress for the victim's family. 5. Jessie Misskelley In 1994, Jessie Misskelley was found guilty of participating in the murder of three eight-year-old boys - Steven Branch, Christopher Byers, and Michael Moore. Police interviewed Misskelley about a month after the boys were found dead in a creek-tied up, beaten, and mutilated. Although Leo and Ofshe assert the confession was "inconsistent with the facts of the case," it was in fact proven beyond a reasonable doubt to be consistent in its most important respect - the identity of the main killers. About a month after the gruesome murders, police asked Misskelley to come to the station house in order to answer some questions. Misskelley admitted that he watched as two of his friends-Damien Echols and Jason Baldwin-beat and abused the young boys, and that he (Misskelley) kept one of the boys (Michael Moore) from escaping. Based on this incriminating statement, police arrested Echols and Baldwin as principals in the murders and Misskelley as their accomplice. The accuracy of Misskelley's identification of Baldwin and Echols as the killers was established by guilty verdicts at a separate trial resting entirely on independent evidence, because Misskelley's confession could not be used as evidence at that trial. That independent evidence included clothing fibers found on the victims' clothes that were microscopically indistinguishable from items found in the Baldwin and Echols residences, and from various witnesses who heard Echols and Baldwin admit committing the crimes. The capital sentencing phase also included grisly testimony from a defense psychiatric expert who said Echols believed, among other things, drinking blood of others gave him special powers. At Misskelley's trial, the prosecution acknowledged some discrepancies between Misskelley's confession and the crime scene, but identified a number of consistencies knowable only by someone with first-hand knowledge of the crime. These details included not only correctly identifying Echols and Baldwin as the killers, but also the following: Misskelley confessed that, when he left the scene, the Byers boy was already dead on the ground; there was evidence that the creek contributed to the deaths of the other two boys, but not the Byers boy.   Misskelley confessed that the Byers boy was cut on his penis; the Byers boy was the only boy found with severe genital mutilations. Misskelley confessed that one of the boys was cut on the face; one of the boys had facial lacerations. Leo and Ofshe also report that "numerous" witnesses placed Misskelley at a wrestling competition forty miles from the crime scene. This wrestling alibi would, in the colorful phrase of reporters covering the trial, be "pinned for the count." Two of the alibi witnesses had previously given statements to the police that they were unaware of Misskelley's whereabouts on the night of the murder. According to the reporters, the prior statements "destroyed any credible Misskelley alibi." In any event, at trial, the defense fully explored all of the issues. Although Misskelley did not take the stand, his attorneys presented extended testimony from an expert, none other than Richard Ofshe, about the alleged false confession. The jury nevertheless convicted Misskelley, and nothing in Leo and Ofshe's account suggests that any significant relevant evidence was kept from them. Developments since Misskelley's trial, not discussed by Leo and Ofshe, strongly confirm the verdict's accuracy. After his conviction, Misskelley confessed two more times. On the drive to the state prison, after he was assured that nothing he said could be used against him, Misskelley gave a detailed statement about the crime. Prosecutors then arranged for a judicially-approved interview of Misskelley, over the strenuous objections of his defense attorneys. In the forty-minute recorded interview, Misskelley provided details about the crime. Misskelley said that, when he got off work at dinnertime, he went to a wooded area with his friends Echols and Baldwin. When three boys entered the woods, Echols jumped them. When they resisted, he (Misskelley) and Baldwin had entered the fray. Misskelley grabbed the one with the blue boy scout uniform (Michael Moore) to prevent his escape. To keep him under control, Misskelley hit him repeatedly on the head. Misskelley then watched as one of the other boys was cut on the penis, recounting that "I seen blood fly."* Misskelley also explained how the boys were tied up with shoelaces from their shoes. When first questioned by police, he had said that the boys were tied up with rope to throw the police "off track." Misskelley left before Echols and Baldwin, carrying with him a bottle of whiskey, which he busted under a highway overpass close to the woods. Prosecutors and defense counsel went to the overpass and found a broken bottle at the indicated location. The broken bottle neck matched a bottle of Evan Williams Kentucky Bourbon, the kind Misskelley said he drank the day of the murders. 6. Bradley Page Bradley Page, a student at U.C. Berkeley, was convicted of voluntary manslaughter for the 1984 murder of his girlfriend, Bibi Lee. On the morning of the murder, after several fights between Page and Lee left the atmosphere "tense," Page, Lee, and another woman went jogging in a secluded area. Lee separated from the other two; Page later went back to look for Lee by himself. He returned fifteen minutes later seeming "angry," "worried," and "somewhat scared and confused," claiming not to have seen her. Page convinced the other woman to drive back with him the ten miles to campus, leaving Lee to her own devices, a decision the woman "was not comfortable with."Page did not seem particularly concerned about Lee during the rest of the day. The next morning, the police, who were summoned by one of Lee's worried roommates, were told by Page that Lee had disappeared while jogging. Page denied that he was upset or angry the morning of the run. A search with bloodhounds and Explorer scouts of the area failed to locate Lee that day. Her body was eventually discovered several weeks later in exactly the same area where Page had gone looking for her while jogging. After discovering the body, police questioned Page, who denied knowledge of the crime. Page then agreed to take a polygraph test. On the third time through the questions, Page began "wailing," making it impossible to continue the test The polygraph examiner noticed that Page did not exhibit any physical signs of crying. Based on the first two tests, the examiner concluppropriate adult then is present during questioning to "advise the person being interviewed and to observe whether or not the interview is being conducted properly and fairly." Id. para. 11.16. It would be interested to see whether such an approach could be transferred to the United States. Curiously enough, the biggest obstacle might be Miranda doctrine, since the "appropriate adult" would arguably be an attorney. Of course, once present an attorney would probably prevent questioning of any sort-no matter how proper and fair. 386. See Cassell, supra note 5, at 534-38. 387. See Commonwealth v. Daniels, 321 N.E.2d 822, 828 (Ma 1975) (suggesting expert testimony on mental retardation might be required at confession suppression hearings). 388. See E. Paul Holmes et al, Learning Street Smarts for an Urban Setting, 20 PSYCHIATRIC REHABILITATION JOURNAL 64 (1997). 389. See supra notes 89-90 and accompanying text (discussing psychiatrist who lost "her scientific objectivity and skepticism" to render an opinion that a defendant sentenced to death was mentally retarded and therefore ineligible for the death penalty). 390. See, e.g., supra notes 200-26 and accompanying text (noting involvement of Misskelley, who had low IQ, in crime). The available research, however, suggests that overall very low IQ's are disproportionately underrepresented in the criminal population. See JAMES Q. WILSON & RICHARD J. HERRNSTEIN, CRIME AND HUMAN NATURE 154 (1985). 391. For discussion of a more general response to the problem of wrongful convictions from false confessions, see Cassell, supra note 5, at 538-56. 392. This may be the appropriate point to explain briefly how I came to examine nine particular cases in detail When preparing a response to the Leo and Ofshe's article, I had initially intended to use a single case to illustrate problems associated with their subjective determination of innocencemous opinion written by Judge Clinton White, a former public defender from Berkeley not known for credulously accepting police accounts of crimes. The court explained that "despite Page's claim to the contrary," the prosecution's case "did not rely solely on his naked confession. In reality, the confession was supported and corroborated by the internal details Page supplied -- details that only the killer could know-such as the location of the body, the location of head and nose injuries, and the method of burial." The Court of Appeals also noted that Page's explanation at trial for the confession "strained the jury's credulity to the breaking point. His explanation was rife with internal inconsistencies, and was also inconsistent with the explanation he gave the officers in his final taped statement." Leo and Ofshe further assert that in 1994 Michael Ihde was identified as Lee's murderer. This bold claim is supported with a citation to "CBS News" (more precisely the "Connie Chung" show) which said that Ihde was a possible suspect in the killing. Noting that Lee was an Asian-American, Leo and Ofshe claim Ihde was the real killer because he admitted "that he killed three San Francisco Area women-one of whom was non-white." In fact, Ihde admitted killing a "black' woman. Ihde's modus operandi was also inconsistent with the Lee murder.248 Leo and Ofshe claim that Ihde's "appearance was consistent with the reported eyewitness evidence" in Page's trial. This is apparently a reference to testimony from a defense witness, who said she saw a person she thought was Lee being pulled into a van by a man "in his mid-40s, 6 feet to 6 feet 3 inches, 220-225 pounds with a prominent beer belly, beard, and unkempt curly hair." This testimony was severely undercut at trial,2 and in any event is not remotely "consistent" with Ihde's appearance. At the time of the murder, Ihde was a "meth freak," approximately six feet four inches, 150 pounds-wiry, as skinny as a rail, with bright red "carrot top" hair. Ihde was also without a car when Lee was killed.2s It is therefore unclear how Ihde could have driven to the area where Lee was supposedly seen being pulled into a van, which was itself several miles from where she was jogging. It is much less clear how Ihde would have figured out how to drive back to bury Lee in precisely the same area where she had been jogging with Page. 7. James Harry Reyos James Harry Reyos was convicted in 1983 of murdering a Catholic priest, Patrick Ryan, in a hotel room in Odessa, Texas. Leo and Ofshe list Reyos in the "proven" innocent category. The source for this strong assertion is a letter Dennis Cadra sent to the Texas governor two days before Cadra left the district attorney's office that handled the case. Cadra was a prosecutor in the office that prosecuted Reyos, but did not personally handle the trial. Cadra`s letter argues it "was physically impossible for Mr. Reyos to have committed the crime for which he was convicted."2 The letter recounts that Father Ryan was murdered in Odessa sometime between 7:00 p.m. and midnight on December 21, 1981. The letter claims, however, that Reyos was in Roswell, New Mexico until 8:00 p.m. on the 21st and got a speeding ticket around Roswell at 12:15 a.m. early the next morning. This leaves only four hours and fifteen minutes to drive 200 miles to Odessa to commit the murder and then return. To do this, the letter concludes, Reyos "would have had to have averaged a driving speed of over 111 miles per hour." This all sounds quite persuasive until one compares the letter's claims with the original trial transcript. To put Reyos in Roswell until 8:00 p.m. on the 21st, the letter relies on testimony from David Myers, a dormmate of Reyos's at college, who testified (according to the account in the letter) that he hung out with Reyos at some point "between the l9th and the 22nd." The letter makes further arguments to exclude all of these days but the 21st, creating Reyos' alibi. Myers actually testified, however, that he had spent time with Reyos "[s]ometime before Christmas of 1981," on a day that was "probably not the 24th." The first few lines of the trial transcript of the prosecutor's cross-examination of Myers proves that the letter's representations about the dates being limited to between the 19th and 22nd are simply inaccurate: Q: Mr. Myers, you said this visit could have been the night of the 23rd? A: Yes, sir. Q: Or the night of the 22nd? A: Right. Q: You are not sure? A: No, I am not.21 Myers's testimony, given a year-and-a-half after the murder, thus leaves entirely open the possibility that he met Reyos on the 23rd, not to mention the 22nd, leaving Reyos without an alibi on the 21st. Not only was Myers unsure about the date, but Reyos did not tell police when questioned five days after the murder that he was with Myers on that night. Because it is unclear even what day Reyos was with Myers, the seemingly precise "111 miles per hour" calculation rests on a foundation of sand. The ease of collapsing the supposed "proof" of Reyos's innocence should itself be strong evidence supporting the jury's verdict. But even if Myers firmly testified to hanging out with his old dorm mate on the night of the 21st, the jury could have simply credited other trial testimony-none of which is discussed in the letter. Olivia Gonzales, for example, testified that she saw Reyos driving the victim's car by himself the day after the murder. If the jury believed her testimony-and nothing in the cross-examination cast real doubt on it - it would be powerful evidence of guilt Evidence was also presented that Reyos performed oral sex on the victim the day before the murder, although Reyos gave an incredible account that the victim had "forced" him to do it. Nonetheless, it was undisputed that early on the day of the murder, Reyos went to the victim's house seeking a ride. The jury also had before it confessions made by Reyos. The letter discounts these based on testimony from a psychologist concluding they were false confessions. However, cross-examination at trial established that this opinion rested heavily on Reyos's honesty during psychiatric examinations. Moreover, the psychologist relied exclusively on psychological profiles and never compared Reyos's confessions with the physical crime scene evidence. A comparison suggests the confessions were truthful. Reyos first called a 911 operator about the killing and said "[y]ou are talking to the killer." When police came to his hotel room to question him about the call, Reyos said he killed the victim "[w]ith a razor, but I mostly beat him." The medical testimony established that the victim was beaten to death and had one "linear laceration" that could have been a razor cut. The defense offered no testimony to explain Reyos's knowledge of the manner of death. Reyos later testified at trial that "I don't recall anything after" the police opened the door to talk to him about the 911 call. Reyos was also able to describe features of the hotel where the victim was murdered despite claiming to have never been there. The police confirmed that Reyos bought a case of Coors beer, and some Coors beer cans were found in the hotel room where the murder was committed. At the police station, Reyos reiterated in a "brashful manner" that he killed the victim and wanted to know why it was taking so long for the police to record his statement. A public defender arrived and argued with Reyos, unsuccessfully telling him to "shut up," "don't say anything," and "be quiet." Ultimately, Reyos gave a recorded statement, first confessing to the murder and then repudiating the confession. Although I have been unable to locate a transcript of the confession, the Texas Court of Appeals later rejected Reyos's claims that the confession was inconsistent in relation to the other evidence in the case. The most compelling fact supporting Reyos's guilt is that all of the alleged exculpatory evidence-including the alleged alibi-was capably presented to the jury. No good rationale is offered as to why the presumptively conscientious jurors found Reyos guilty beyond a reasonable doubt when he was innocent. The jury's verdict was upheld in a unanimous opinion from the Texas Court of Appeals, which noted that the "alibi was certainly not established as a matter of law." Cadra's letter was also rejected. After receiving the letter, the Texas Board of Pardons and Parole voted sixteen to zero against a pardon. The same information was pressed in a habeas petition, which the trial court in Odessa rejected on grounds that it offered no new evidence to warrant revisiting the case. 8. Linda Stangel Linda Stangel was convicted of killing her boyfriend, David Wahl, by recklessly pushing him to his death from a cliff. On November 12, 1995, Wahl disappeared while on a trip with Stangel to the Oregon coast. Several weeks later a body washed up in Washington, which was ultimately identified as Wahl's. The injuries to the body suggested that his death was caused by a sudden impact, such as falling from an extreme height. Stangel initially told the police that she and Wahl got into a fight. Wahl left to go on a walk by himself around noon at the oceanside Ecola State Park and never came back. She fell asleep in the van for four to five hours. When she awoke, Wahl still had not returned, so she drove the two hours home. Stangel never stopped on the way to seek help in finding Wahl. Finally, at 7:30 p.m., nearly eight hours after Stangel last saw Wahl, she called the police. Stangel moved to Minnesota after Wahl's death but returned to Oregon in July for Wahl's memorial service. Police officers Travis Hampton and Alan Corson asked if Stangel would accompany them in an effort to run through the last day Wahl was seen. Stangel wondered why police had not done this sooner and indicated that it was appropriate under the circumstances. The two officers and Stangel retraced the route down the coast, eventually arriving at Ecola Park. At the park, Leo and Ofshe claim the two officers "obliged [Stangel] to walk up the narrow, steadily rising bluff trail" where she "broke down in apparent fear of the cliff edge as they climbed the trail" and confessed to accidentally shoving Wahl off the cliff. The trial judge found a different version of the facts to be credible after hearing testimony directly from officers Hampton and Corson, defendant Stangel, and Richard Ofshe. While sitting in the parking lot with the officers Stangel repeatedly looked over her shoulder toward the cliff. Hampton asked if something happened to Wahl up there, but Stangel did not reply. Hampton asked if there was something she had not told them, but Stangel again did not reply. Hampton asked if she wanted to go up, and Stangel said yes. They proceeded up the cliffside trail, arriving at a viewpoint. Stangel sat down and said she was afraid of heights. Hampton asked if she wanted to go back, but Stangel said no and led the officers further up the trail. When their way was obstructed by a log, Stangel asked Hampton "out of the blue" if hypnosis could help her remember what happened. Hampton asked her to simply explain what happened. Stangel said, "What if I could tell you what happened but not where it happened?" She explained that Wahl came at her, that she was scared, and demonstrated a straight arm push. Hampton told her that she was not guilty of murder if it was truly an accident. He asked Stangel to elaborate, and she laughed and said she made the whole thing up. She was silent, momentarily, and then told Hampton that she was afraid to talk because she would be blamed. Stangel told Hampton that she wanted to continue up the trail. After a short hike, they arrived at a viewpoint without a railing next to a 300 foot drop to the beach below. Stangel told the detectives that this was the place where Wahl fell off the cliff. Stangel and the two officers spent the next fifteen minutes at the viewpoint. Stangel described how Wahl went over the cliff and demonstrated the event by moving the officers into Wahl's position. Stangel told the officers that she and Wahl had been talking about their relationship. She wanted to end it, but Wahl wanted to continue it. While they were talking, Wahl gave her a slight push to scare her, and it frightened her, even though she was not in fear of going over the edge. She then withdrew herself, yelled "fu*ker," and pushed him over the edge. In the police car back at the parking lot, the officers took a recorded statement from Stangel. On the day Wahl died, Stangel told him she "was going back to Minnesota" without him. Wahl went to the beach for fifteen minutes, then returned and asked Stangel to go with him up the trail. They walked slowly discussing their relationship, reaching the edge of the "very steep" cliff. Stangel stated: We were talking about our relationship again. Then I'm like just forget about it. And I proceeded to go near the edge of the cliff. And Dave came up behind me . . . And, while we were standing there, he faked pushed me. And I'm afraid of heights, so my natural reaction was to just push him back. I just said, "hey f*r" and pushed him, accidentally. Wahl was "inches," or "maybe a foot," from the cliff at the time. Wahl "made this loud, annoying scream" as he fell to his death. Stangel made no attempt to get medical attention for Wahl and was sure he was dead. Stangel then went back to her car for a "couple of hours" and drove home without calling for help. She told everyone, including the police, that Wahl just walked off because "I didn't want to be accused and there were lots of fingers pointing at me right away." At 9:00 p.m. the same day, when Stangel was safely back in her hotel room-and presumably no longer needing to "escape the immediate stress of the narrow and terrifying heights" that Leo and Ofshe claim induced the first confession - she waived her Miranda rights and gave another parallel statement. Stangel recounted the same facts leading up to the fatal push and then explained, "He had one hand on my back, one hand like on my stomach. I mean I'm out there in space and he pretends to push and I freaked. So I pushed him back. . . It was like a get the hell away from me kind of push." At a suppression hearing, Stangel claimed the confessions were "made up to make these officers happy." Ofshe testified for the defense as well, relying in significant measure on information from Stangel* to conclude that her fear of heights and the officer's statement that an accident was not a murder led to a false confession.3 At the conclusion of the hearing, the court advised the parties how it would rule: "I will accept Detective Hampton and Detective Corson's version of events and find them to be believable and more believable than the defendant." Similarly, the court concluded, "I do not accept Dr. [sic] Ofshe's opinions regarding the coercion or the coercive nature of the interrogation. I simply didn't believe him, and I do believe that Ms. Stangel gave her statements freely and voluntarily, and that the detectives did not coerce her into giving the statement." At trial, the jury heard from the two officers and from Stangel and Ofshe. During trial, Linda Stangel was caught telling several lies. After hearing all the evidence, the jury did not credit Stangel's and Ofshe's testimony and returned a guilty verdict. The jury's verdict poses a serious methodological issue for Leo and Ofshe. They promise to include in their collection only cases in which the "overwhelming majority" of neutral observers would find the confession to be false. Yet in this case, all twelve jurors unanimously found to the contrary-beyond a reasonable doubt-after hearing directly from Ofshe and after reviewing all of the available evidence. Leo and Ofshe do not suggest that any direct evidence was withheld from the jury, noting only that the indirect evidence that Stangel "passed" a polygraph test was excluded from the trial. Leo and Ofshe appear to be unaware that Oregon law makes polygraph results absolutely inadmissible, and their treatment of Stangel's allegedly exculpatory polygraph test seems inconsistent with their refusal to credit inculpatory tests in other cases. In any event, the exculpatory polygraph test was an equivocal result from a defective machine - one of its four channels was broken produced in the defendant's hometown where her mother worked with the police department. All neutral observers in the judicial system in the Stangel case-the judge and the twelve jurors-found the confession was not coerced, and Leo and Ofshe offer no good reason for relitigating and discounting the findings here. 9. Martin Tankleff Martin Tankleff, a seventeen year old with an IQ of 124, was convicted of murdering the parents who adopted him, Arlene and Seymour Tankleff. Citing only Tankleffs petition for habeas corpus, Leo and Ofshe claim "[n]o evidence linked Tankleff to the crime." Two weeks before the murders, however, Martin Tankleff said that if he could "have a hit" on both of his wealthy parents, he could drive any car he wanted. A few days before the murders Tankleff had an ugly, public argument with his father. On the morning of the murders, police responded to a 911 call and found Tankleff alone at home "soiled with blood," his mother dead and his father grievously injured. The police noted that Tankleff's various stories were internally conflicting and inconsistent with the physical evidence at the crime scene. Tankleff agreed to accompany police to the station house. There, an enterprising detective arranged for a fictitious phone call to come in reporting that Tankleff's father miraculously had regained consciousness and identified Tankleff as the attacker. Tankleff offered various explanations for this, and then quickly shifted to saying "it was like another Marty Tankleff that killed them." After police administered Miranda warnings, Tankleff voluntarily made what a reviewing court described as "a full confession." Tankleff said that his parents were fighting and accordingly turned to him for attention, with the result that they were "smothering" him. As a result of this and other resentments, he decided to kill them. He went to his parent's bedroom, hitting his mother four or five times with a barbell. Because she was fighting him off, he then went to the kitchen and got a knife and cut her throat and stabbed her. Then he went to his father's den, "just knocked him silly" with the barbell, and slashed his father's throat. He then showered and washed off the barbell and knife. As Tankleff continued to explain the details and the detectives prepared to reduce the confession to writing and videotape, an attorney called the station house asking that questioning of Tankleff cease, a request the police honored. Tankleff's confession came about ten minutes after the fictitious phone call and a little more than two hours after questioning started. Later that day, a detective overheard Tankleff acknowledge to his sister that he committed the crime. Leo and Ofshe refuse to credit Tankleff's confession to killing his parents with a knife and a barbell, which was recovered from his room, even though the confession narrative was quite consistent with medical testimony about the nature of the injuries. Leo and Ofshe argue the confession was inconsistent with a negative test of the knife and barbell for blood traces, hair and fibers, but these facts tracked Tankleff's confession that he had "washed off the barbell and the knife" in the shower. Other testimony established that both items were moved within hours of the murders. Leo and Ofshe further state definitively that the injuries to the father "were caused by a hammer." The treating physician, however, testified that the injuries "had been caused by a hammer or an object similar to a hammer" and the possibility of a hammer was not "to the exclusion of any other similar type weapon." In any event medical testimony established that the mother's injuries were "consistent with having been caused by" the barbell taken from Tankleff's room, and that the father's injuries were caused by a "blunt instrument," with any further specification impossible due to the emergency surgical procedures performed.*l Leo and Ofshe claim that the time of death of the mother was much earlier than indicated in Tankleff's confession - not recognizing that the mother's time of death could not be established with any precision by the medical examiner, but was generally within the time frame indicated by Tankleff. The jury also had the benefit of testimony from a defense expert that Tankleff was "brainwashed,"but rejected this view and returned guilty verdicts. III. LESSONS FROM THE CASES The nine cases just discussed demonstrate that in a substantial portion of Leo and Ofshe's collection, the allegedly "innocent" person was in all likelihood properly found guilty at trial or by plea-particularly in cases where the most that Leo and Ofshe are willing to venture is the view that the person was "highly probably" or "probably" innocent, rather than "proven" innocent. The guilt of these nine defendants, for whom original court records were available, suggests that other defendants in the Leo-Ofshe collection may be guilty as well. To all this, some may reply that I have missed the forest for the trees, that the point is not exactly how many miscarriages from false confessions occur, but rather that they occur at all. But setting the record straight in these cases is important in its own right, in order to avoid cruelly traumatizing the victims'  families and unfairly maligning the professionalism of police, prosecutors, judges, and defense attorneys. More important, at least three broader lessons can be learned from these mischaracterized cases of innocence, as I explain in this Part. First, relying on news media accounts of trials to determine "innocence" is dangerous, because of the media's considerable bias towards discovering "news" by finding that the system malfunctioned. Second, removing the spurious cases from the Leo-Ofshe collection and examining the residual "undisputed" wrongful convictions reveals that the false confession problem is not pervasive, but rather is concentrated among a narrow population-those with serious mental problems. Finally, the cases demonstrate that even those who are guilty of crimes will frequently give a confession that is inconsistent with the known facts of the case. This presents a serious problem for Leo and Ofshe's proposal to suppress confessions whose post-admission narrative fails to closely track the facts of the case. A. Problems in Determining "Innocence" The first issue worth examining is how Leo and Ofshe could have wandered so far astray on some of these cases of alleged "innocence." The question becomes even more puzzling when we realize that Leo and Ofshe, to avoid precisely the type of reevaluation undertaken here, promised to limit their collection of cases to those lacking any "credible evidence" corroborating the defendant's guilt. Yet in all of the nine cases just examined, such evidence plainly existed. While it is possible that Leo and Ofshe have simply played fast and loose with the facts, the distortion in these cases is perhaps more simply attributable to the kinds of secondary sources Leo and Ofshe relied upon. While Leo and Ofshe describe their research as relying "where possible" on "primary" sources such as "trial records,"3 the great bulk of it actually rests on second-hand accounts. Some of these secondary sources were draped in red warning flags that should have been heeded, such as a recounting of a trial from the defendant's father, a book published by "the friends of" a defendant to raise funds for his defense, and a habeas petition designed to win a defendant's release from prison.m Many other sources were second-hand newspaper accounts available in computerized databases. No doubt relying on such readily-available information saves considerable time. Having spent innumerable hours collecting original court records on just nine cases, I can attest to the practical advantages of computerized research. But with the advantage of speed comes the danger of error, a danger that becomes unacceptable in light of news media biases. While courts and juries legally must be impartial, journalists are not so restricted and have an understandable interest in slanting evidence to suggest wrongful conviction. This is a particularly serious problem in "investigative" reporting because "many journalists deem investigative pieces successful only if they uncover malfeasance, [creating] an incentive to interpret ambiguous facts in the worst possible light." However well intentioned a reporter may be, the fact remains that it is only "news" if an innocent person is convicted. One reporter explained the ease of writing compelling yet biased stories this way: "If you've got a crying mom, you've got a story. If you've got a crying dad, my God, you've got two stories! If you don't get the other side of the story, you've got to be swayed." Even entirely impartial media sources can also be influenced by the agendas of others. This may account for the particularly egregious misrepresentations found in secondhand descriptions of death penalty cases. Family members or supporters of a prisoner may also believe, for understandable reasons, that an innocent person has been wrongly convicted and set out to use the media to influence the case through accounts of the "evidence" that, predictably, put the best possible light on things. The normal checks and balances found in other areas of journalism may operate less effectively here. Prosecutors, and indirectly police agencies, operate under rules of legal ethics that severely restrict the information that can be provided about a case outside the courtroom. On the other side, the enforcement of similar rules against defense attorneys is problematic and, in any event, supporters of the defendant outside the legal profession are free to give their views. To be sure, crime victims can, and in some cases do, respond. But in other cases they may not. Victims often have no stomach for public battles over the crime, believing that the issues will be resolved in the courtroom. One reporter described the resulting asymmetries in sexual abuse cases as follows: Those accused of sexual abuse have an overwhelming interest in discrediting the child and family members accusing them . . . They resort to war by public diplomacy. The other side-therapists, family, friends-cannot answer back in kind. For all those concerned about the victim. . . maintaining privacy is crucial. . . No one who cares about the human costs of crime to the victim will lightly compound it. As a result, the message carried to the media is often heavily biased in favor of the perpetrator. It should be noted that a disproportionate number of Leo and Ofshe's innocents were men who committed crimes against women or children. Some have argued that the media is structurally biased against accepting claims from or supportive of such victims. All this suggests that relying on second-hand media accounts is not a reliable means of determining the accuracy of convictions, as the media will inevitably manufacture more "innocents" than really exist. At the very least, primary sources such as trial transcripts should be carefully consulted before crediting a news story about a "wrongful" conviction. B. Overgeneralizing the Problem of False Confessions While second-hand media reports inflate the number of reported cases of wrongful conviction from false confession, an important additional question is whether such reports are skewed in any systematic way. After all, the news media might give us a general sense of what is happening, even if it exaggerates the extent to which it is happening. But there is good reason to believe the media not only creates miscarriages but also creates a particular kind. For all the reasons just given, the media's greatest interest is in depicting wrongful convictions in a dramatic it-could-happen-to-you fashion. In an effort to appeal to its audience, the media is more inclined to find "average" persons who have been wrongly convicted possibly obscuring the fact that more unique populations are especially at risk. The hypothesis that the Leo-Ofshe collection is skewed could be tested if we could compare it to a more reliably identified collection of wrongful convictions. Professor Sam Gross' research on eyewitness misidentification provides such a means. He restricted his research to cases of "undisputed" misidentifications-those in which there was a clear determination of innocence, preferably from the prosecuting authority that originally charged the defendant. There is undoubtedly considerable wisdom in this conservative approach, as even Richard Ofshe has acknowledged. The problems with the subjective determination of "innocence" in the Leo-Ofshe collection, like similar problems elsewhere, suggests that reliance on second-hand sources combined with understandable enthusiasm for the enterprise of discovering miscarriages may produce more such cases than really exist. Although using undisputed cases suffers from the limitation of requiring the willingness of officials to admit error, police and prosecutors would seem to have ethical obligations to reverse genuine cases of wrongful conviction and, in a number of cases, have in fact done so. In any event, the problem of official reluctance to admit error likely affects only the number of wrongful convictions, not their nature. Only a relative handful of Leo and Ofshe's cases would satisfy the criterion of undisputed wrongful conviction. It appears that in none of the cases of "probable" or "highly probable" innocence has there been an official acknowledgment of error. Even among the fifteen "proven" cases of wrongful conviction from false confession, many are disputed. Prosecutors believed Lavale Burt was guilty of murder. The district attorney who prosecuted Steven Linscott specifically declined to declare him innocent. In the case of George Parker, the prosecution apparently continued to press for his conviction, only to be blocked by an appellate court.* State police continued to believe Peter Reilly committed the crime after an appellate court overturned the conviction. The guilt of James Reyos has been discussed previously. Prosecutors continue to believe that Earl Washington was guilty of rape and murder. Indeed, in commuting Washington's death sentence as one of his last acts in office, Governor Douglas Wilder said that he was not fully convinced that Washington was innocent and that Washington "had knowledge of evidence relating to the crime which it can be argued only the perpetrator would have known." Governor Wilder also noted, in remarks that could apply to the death penalty cases discussed here, that the capital punishment opponents pressuring him to grant a full pardon did "not enjoy a grasp of the specific facts of the case." As a result, assuming the recitations in secondary sources have accurately recounted the facts in the remaining cases, nine of Leo and Ofshe's twenty-nine wrongful conviction cases (approximately one-third) are undisputed: Bradley Cox, Ralph Jacobs, William Kelley, Laverne Pavlinac, John Purvis, Melvin Reynolds, Christopher Smith, David Vasquez, and Johnny Lee Wilson. When these nine defendants are examined, a striking common feature emerges-eight of the nine, all but Bradley Cox, are mentally retarded or have other serious mental problems. This means that, after extensive research, Leo and Ofshe have uncovered only one undisputed case in the last quarter century in which a mentally normal person was wrongfully convicted from a false confession, and that case appears to offer few generalizable lessons about police interrogation. More important, the high concentration of the mentally infirm among the undisputed cases suggests that, for the most part, false confessions are caused not by police questioning techniques in general but rather by the application of those techniques to certain narrow, mentally limited populations. Although more research is clearly needed on this question, there is nothing new in recognizing that those with mental limitations are at special risk of false confessions. As long ago as 1963, the President's Panel on Mental Retardation concluded that "[s]ome of the retarded are characterized by a desire to please authority: if a confession will please, it may be gladly given." Other commentators have expressed similar concerns. Consistent with these cautions, American courts "have long recognized that confessions by mentally retarded persons are somewhat suspect."   Leo and Ofshe could perform a valuable service if they analyzed interrogation tactics that posed particular risks to this population. But identifying false confessions solely among this constricted population is not the limited project Leo and Ofshe have in mind. Instead, they wish to proceed more broadly and, for example, heap scorn on Fred Inbau and the other authors of the most widely used police interrogation manual.  Leo and Ofshe claim these authorities "persist in the self-serving and misguided belief that contemporary psychological methods are not apt to cause an innocent suspect to confess-a fiction that is flatly contradicted by all of the scientific research on interrogation and confession."  I have suggested that, to the contrary, Leo and Ofshe are guilty of rhetorical overstatement in claiming that common police questioning techniques are "apt" to cause false confessions. But even setting that aside, Leo and Ofshe fail to acknowledge that the manual expressly recognizes the special problems that arise in questioning those with mental problems, warning that "an innocent person with a psychological affliction may seem to be guilty." This admonition is followed with a cautionary example in which a innocent suspect with an "unstable personality" aroused suspicions during interrogation. Moreover, in an article directed to law enforcement authorities, Fred Inbau has specifically written that "special protection must be afforded [to persons of below-average intelligence] . . . to minimize the risk of obtaining untruthful admissions due to their vulnerability to suggestive questioning." Questioning should proceed, Inbau instructed, "with all reasonable precautions to guard against untrustworthy admissions, bearing in mind the suspect's particular vulnerability to suggestiveness with respect to possible explanatory conduct." Thus, far from deserving condemnation, Inbau should be commended for alerting law enforcement communities to a particularly perilous area for false confessions. If criticism is to be directed anywhere, it might be towards Leo and Ofshe for suggesting more generally that all police interrogation should be regarded with suspicion. This overbroad indictment will inevitably, and unfortunately, distract at least some attention away from where it apparently should be focused-the mentally retarded. Precisely what safeguards are needed to protect the mentally retarded is difficult to say. American courts already specially scrutinize confessions from the retarded under the voluntariness test. The miscarriages collected by Leo and Ofshe establish that this scrutiny is imperfect, although they do not establish the extent of the problem. Because of such examples, some have proposed restrictions on police questioning of the mentally retarded. Judicially enforceable rules for police questioning would, however, raise considerable practical difficulties. As a result, police training may be the best preventative medicine and could, perhaps, even be done with materials from Inbau. Oversight of police questioning of the retarded may be best handled through continued judicial scrutiny of the voluntariness of confessions and expert testimony to juries on the peculiar susceptibilities of the retarded to this problem.At the same time, caution is needed in applying these rules. Those with mental illness are particularly likely to fall victim to crime and thus may be especially severely harmed by restrictions on police investigation. Also, in other areas of the law, doctrines benefiting the mentally retarded have led to biased mental testing to prove that defendants suffered from this disability. And, finally, the retarded are not immune from criminal temptations. Nonetheless, a focus on the possibility of false confessions given by those with mental limitations appears to offer a chance of a targeted-and successful-response to the existing false confession problem. The examination of undisputed cases also reveals one disturbing point about Leo and Ofshe's analysis that, unfortunately, must be made: their accuracy in identifying cases of false confessions is distressingly low. In total, Leo and Ofshe analyzed twenty-nine cases of wrongful convictions from false confessions. Of these twenty-nine, the nine undisputed cases did not require any special identification because all parties conceded the convictions should be overturned. Removing these nine uncontested cases leaves twenty in which the truth of the confession was disputed. The analysis presented here demonstrates than in nine of those twenty cases-Fairchild, Giarratano, Ingram, Lapointe, Misskelley, Page, Reyos, Stangel, and Tankleff-Leo and Ofshe have incorrectly concluded that the defendants were probably innocent. Even giving Leo and Ofshe the generous benefit of the doubt that they were entirely right on the remaining eleven cases, their success rate in identifying false confessions in the disputed cases can be no better than eleven of twenty (fifty-five percent), barely better than one would expect from flipping a coin to decide a controverted issue. This low batting average raises serious questions about the admissibility of expert testimony resting on Leo and Ofshe's research about false confessions. The admissibility of expert testimony on false confessions is quite controversial-some courts allow it while others exclude it.Although this is not the place for an extended discussion of these competing approaches, the clear trend in the cases is that, at the very least, courts should preclude any testimony on the truth or falsity of a particular confession. Moving beyond that, expert testimony might in theory be justified on interrogation conditions that might produce false confessions. On this point, however, a practical difficulty arises. Before allowing such testimony, courts must find that it pertains to "scientific knowledge." In making this determination, courts can consider the acceptance of particular conclusions within a relevant scientific community. It is not at all clear that acceptance of conclusions about false confessions yet exists given the preliminary nature of false confession research. Professor Welsh White has recently noted that the empirical data on false confessions could be described as "tentative and fragmentary." Professor Saul Kassin, himself a leading researcher on the subject of false confessions, has gone further and concluded that "the topic of confession evidence has largely been overlooked by the scientific community. As a result of this neglect, the current empirical foundation may be too meager to . . . qualify as a subject of 'scientific knowledge' according to" the rules governing expert testimony? Testimony resting on Leo and Ofshe's research, at least concerning how "false" confessions are produced, does not appear to satisfy the requirements to be admissible expert testimony. Before accepting expert testimony, courts should "consider the known or potential rate of error" from a particular technique. Leo and Ofshe's technique results in an error rate -at least forty-five percent-that is unacceptably high. Moreover, the rules of evidence generally permit expert opinion based on "facts or data" that are "of a type reasonably relied upon by experts in the particular field." Experts in the field of miscarriages would certainly look to primary court records first, as even Leo and Ofshe seem to concede. Yet in practice their analysis quite frequently departs from the preferred approach. Their analysis only rarely cites-much less discusses-primary court records, even where judicial opinions are readily available in published reporters. Of course, judicial records are not the only sources that should be consulted; the point is that they certainly ought to be among the main sources consulted. Because of the high error rate and failure to follow accepted research techniques, courts should not allow expert testimony resting on Leo and Ofshe's analysis of any of the particular cases discussed here. Courts certainly need more reliable research on this important subject, and I add my voice to those who are encouraging further investigation of the false confession problem. C. Problems With Post-Admission Narrative Analysis. Rather than focusing on particular subpopulations at special risk for false confessions, Leo and Ofshe propose more sweeping changes to confessions law. Among other things, Leo and Ofshe suggest that courts should "carefully scrutinize" a confessor's "post-admission narrative" against the known facts of the case. In their view, "[t]he fit between the specifics of a confession and the crime facts determines whether the 'I did it' admission should be judged as reliable or unreliable evidence." They further argue that, if the discrepancies are substantial enough, courts should conclude that the confession is unreliable and suppress it. As a general proposition, there is nothing wrong with examining confessions to see whether they track the crime facts and reveal details about the crime that only the perpetrator would know. No doubt juries routinely make such evaluations in assessing confession evidence. Leo and Ofshe propose, however, to go further and require courts to make a specific determination about "fit," with that determination governing the admissibility of defendants' statements. Such a proposal goes well beyond traditional judicial scrutiny, which focuses on the "voluntariness" of the confession, and would in effect substitute judges for the jury as the trier of these important, and often outcome-dispositive, facts. Because this far-reaching change would govern the admissibility of all confessions, not just those from the vulnerable population of the mentally retarded, its desirability rests on proof that it would especially suppress false confessions but not true ones. There are substantial practical reasons for doubting that the proposal would be so discriminating. To begin with, many guilty suspects do not give a "confession" to the crime, but rather make only an incriminating statement. By definition, such a statement will fail to fit the facts of the crime, even if it accurately suggests guilt. Consider, for example, a suspect's claim that he was with the victim on the day of the murder, but left shortly before she was killed. Such a statement may be quite important to a successful prosecution of the suspect, but the prosecution's entire theory will be that the suspect did not leave before the murder and that this part of the narrative does not fully track the facts of the crime. This scenario unfolds very frequently. Bret Hayman and I found in Salt Lake City that, among suspects who gave incriminating statements, thirty-six percent provided something less than a confession. An even larger percentage comes from Leo's empirical study in northern California, which found that, among suspects giving incriminating statements, sixty-three percent gave something less than a "full" confession. Both these studies suggest that vast numbers of suspects' incriminating narratives will be at odds with the facts of the case simply because suspects do not confess to the crime in its entirety. Presumably Leo and Ofshe, if required to elaborate on this point, would respond that mere incriminating statements are not subject to their proposal; instead, only "confessions" of the form "I did it" would be subject to the new rules. In another article, they refer to Black's Law Dictionary definitions of "confession" and "admission." The dictionary defines a "confession" as a statement in which a suspect "acknowledges himself to be guilty of the offense charged, and discloses the circumstances of the act or the share and participation which he had in it." An "admission" is defined as "[t]he avowal of a fact or of circumstances from which guilt may be inferred, but only tending to prove the offense charged, and not amounting to a confession of guilt." If Leo and Ofshe's proposal is triggered by a "confession" but not by an "admission," then judges will have to reliably distinguish between the two. Scant precedent suggests they could do so. For example, the Supreme Court held in Miranda that, for self-incrimination purposes, "[n]o distinction can be drawn between statements which are direct confessions and statements which amount to 'admissions' of part or all of an offense." Perhaps part of the reason the Court avoided this quagmire is that no distinction can effectively be made. Consider, for example, the common scenario of a suspect refusing to confess to the crime in all its horror. Leo and Ofshe recognize this possibility, providing the illustration of a guilty suspect who confesses that he kidnapped and killed a child, but is unwilling to confess to also raping her. They would apparently allow the jury to hear this statement in the suspect's trial for murder, kidnap, and rape, but do not explain why. They have two possible grounds for admitting this statement that it is only an "admission" and therefore not subject to their rules, or that it is a "confession" subject to their rules, but sufficiently close to the facts to be admitted. On either theory, numerous problems will develop. On the first theory-that the statement, with its relatively minor deviation from the truth, is treated not as a "confession" but only as an "admission" - then virtually all statements from suspects will fall outside the scope of the new rules. No doubt virtually all confessions contain at least some minor deviation from the truth which, it could be argued, transform them from confessions into admissions. On the second theory-that the statement, while deviating slightly from the truth, is a "confession" but nonetheless admissible because it sufficiently tracks the crime -courts will be forced to decide difficult questions of when confessions hew closely enough to the facts. The hypotheticals are endless and perplexing. Suppose the suspect admits kidnapping, but not murder or rape? Or admits consensual sex in violation of a statutory rape statute, but not forcible rape or kidnapping or murder? Or admits taking the child for a ride, but not with the intent to obtain ransom or commit a felony-typically elements of kidnapping? Or admits stalking the child, but not giving the child a ride? All of these involve a confession to some element of the charged or an uncharged crime, but it is not clear which of these statements qualify as "confessions" subject to the Leo and Ofshe proposal. If any of these statements are defined as "confessions," they will be at odds with important parts of the crime and, therefore, apparently suppressible under the Leo and Ofshe proposal that judges should scrutinize the "fit" of the confession. The problems only mount when we realize that the guilty suspect, even if "confessing" to committing all of the charged crimes, such as murder, kidnap, and rape, might nonetheless provide a post-admission narrative that deviates from the crime's facts. This is a widely recognized problem. As one knowledgeable observer recognized, "even 'true' confessions are often riddled with half-truths because suspects want to paint the most favorable picture possible." The popular Inbau manual reports that many offenders "w